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Sachin Ton & India Losing isn’t Myth, its Stats

March 15th, 2011 by Linus Xavier Leave a reply »

The intention of this post is not to hurt anyone, but to prove that the statistics presented to me by some people are plain rubbish. As an Indian, I want Sachin to score centuries & also India to win.

Let me make onething clear – I’m not trying to say that Sachin makes India lose by scoring centuries. All I’m trying to state here is, statistically India lose more when Sachin scores a century. This could be because – others don’t play well when Sachin does, or possibly even there’s a conspiracy in the team to lose when Sachin scores a century!

Let us assume that a hypothetical player has 15 centuries in winning cause. Would you say that he’s outstanding? Well may be – IF he had totally made 15 centuries and all 15 centuries were in winning causes. What if the player made 100 centuries and only 15 were in winning causes? Not so great yeah? That’s why we need to look at Team’s winning percentage, when a player scores a century. If you look the percentages below – you’ll find why the critics are complaining. Sachin’s centuries contribute the least to winning at 69%. You may say that the Indian team has been bad – but why has the team been so bad only when Sachin scores centuries? Ganguly has a 82% success rate & Sehwag has 93%.


Now, look at this table. Since 2004 India overall has a 57% winning rate. However, during the same period India has a 42% winning rate in matches where Sachin has scored a century, which is considerably low.


Why is this? Is there a conspiracy against Sachin in the team? Or is it just that the other players take it easy when Sachin plays well.

PS: I’m hoping that Sachin & other players would work on improving these numbers!

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5 comments

  1. Mani says:

    I see the reason like this. I think the catch is that the length Sachin is playing for India compared to the the length the other listed players played for their teams. Possibly, the other players (listed) scored ton at the time when their team was in great spirits and were firing. Sachin is there, is there, is there for loooong time during when India Team sees ups and down. So, % wise, his centuries are not earning more victories for India. Makes sense?

  2. Linus Xavier says:

    @Mani: I probably wouldn’t agree with that. In fact, “Sachin Ton – India losing” records are worse in the last 6-7 years, the same period where Ganguly & Sehwag have played and have much better records in this. The only reason I can fathom is – Sachin possibly doesn’t get enough support from the team, when he scores well.

  3. Ravichandran says:

    Xavier, it may be like this, once Sachin performing well, our boys got over confidence & looses their wicket.

  4. beeva says:

    he has played 48 matches , the others 29 at the max !!

  5. David says:

    Simple. he is in the team .. he does nt play for the team .. he plays for himself .. he has a passion and enjoys his own game

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